General·Markets·AI·Glance
Tue · 29 Sep 2026

Intelligence Report

Nvidia Doubles Revenue, Forecasts $673 Billion Sales, Acquires Hugging Face

·12 min read

Executive Summary

Nvidia reported quarterly revenue that more than doubled from a year earlier and issued a forecast projecting $673 billion in annual sales by fiscal 2028, a figure that would surpass Apple and Alphabet, while separately moving to acquire the open-source AI platform Hugging Face for $12.9 billion. The company’s momentum contrasted with turbulence in China’s robotics sector, where Unitree Robotics shares rebounded after losing nearly half their value in five days. In the Himalayas, rescue crews searched for more than 1,500 people missing after a glacier collapse sent a wall of water through Nepal’s Rasuwa district, killing at least 359. And in Washington, the State Department halted immigrant visa interviews worldwide, while CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s unannounced visit to Moscow underscored the administration’s effort to warn Russia against testing NATO’s borders.

AI & Technology

Nvidia Projects $673 Billion in Annual Revenue, Reports Deal to Acquire Hugging Face

Nvidia said on Tuesday that it expects revenue to reach $673 billion in fiscal 2028, a 70 percent increase that would place the chipmaker ahead of Apple and Alphabet in annual sales and behind only Amazon among American technology companies. The forecast, delivered by Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress, far exceeded the 44 percent growth analysts had projected, according to data tracked by LSEG. The company reported fiscal second-quarter revenue of $96.2 billion, more than double the prior year, with data-center revenue surging 117 percent to $89 billion.

Chief Executive Jensen Huang attributed the growth to broadening demand for artificial intelligence beyond the handful of cloud providers that have driven Nvidia’s expansion, though he cautioned that memory shortages were constraining even faster growth. Shares rose more than 4 percent in after-hours trading, and futures for the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all advanced.

The earnings report came as The Information reported that Nvidia has agreed to acquire Hugging Face, the leading platform for sharing open-source AI models, for $12.9 billion, citing a person familiar with the matter. Neither company confirmed the deal, and the report noted that talks could still collapse. Hugging Face, founded in 2016, has become the de facto standard for model distribution, hosting thousands of open-weight models and tools used by millions of developers. The acquisition would give Nvidia control over the primary distribution channel for open-source AI, complementing its dominance in the hardware that trains and runs those models. It would likely face regulatory scrutiny in the United States and Europe, and it raised immediate questions among developers about whether Hugging Face’s open-source ethos would survive under corporate ownership.

Z.ai Claims Its Latest Model Runs Entirely on Chinese-Made Chips

Z.ai, the Chinese artificial intelligence company, released a new model on Wednesday that it says runs exclusively on 100,000 domestically manufactured chips, a claim that sent its Hong Kong-listed shares up more than 8 percent on Thursday. The model, GLM-5.3-Flash, has handled all online requests since its debut on Aug. 20 under the code name “Ox Alpha,” according to the company. It ranks 10th on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, ahead of DeepSeek’s V4 Pro Max, and was the most-used model on the global OpenRouter platform in the past week.

CNBC reported that it could not independently verify the chip claims, and Z.ai declined to name its suppliers. The announcement nonetheless signals accelerating progress in China’s push for AI hardware self-sufficiency, as domestic companies seek alternatives to Nvidia chips amid U.S. export restrictions. Rival MiniMax saw its shares rise about 3 percent after reporting a 283 percent revenue surge in the first half of the year, though its adjusted net loss more than doubled to $293 million. Z.ai is scheduled to report its own first-half earnings on Monday.

China’s Robotics IPO Wave Faces Valuation Questions

Unitree Robotics, the first listed humanoid robot maker on Shanghai’s Star Market, saw its shares rebound nearly 4 percent on Thursday after five straight days of losses that erased nearly half its market value. The stock, which debuted at 1,100 yuan on Aug. 19, hit a record low of 571 yuan on Wednesday, a 48 percent drop that wiped out 200 billion yuan in market value. The volatility has raised questions about whether China’s accelerating wave of robotics and AI listings is outpacing investor appetite.

Two more Hangzhou-based robotics startups, including Infiforce Technology Group, have confirmed plans for Hong Kong listings as early as 2027. Infiforce has secured a 1,000-unit robot order in Saudi Arabia, linking Gulf demand to Chinese robotics. DeepSeek’s founder’s quant fund, High-Flyer, has secured pre-IPO allocations in hot tech IPOs, including Unitree and memory chipmaker CXMT, according to reports. The Saudi Arabia LEAP tech conference, returning after a five-month delay, is expected to generate further deals between Chinese robotics firms and Gulf capital.

Geopolitics & Security

CIA Director’s Moscow Visit Delivered Warning on NATO, Officials Say

CIA Director John Ratcliffe traveled to Moscow this week to deliver a direct warning to Russian officials against attacking any NATO member state, according to multiple U.S. media reports. The trip, first reported by The Wall Street Journal and confirmed by CBS News, marked the first known visit by a U.S. intelligence chief to Russia since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. President Trump described the visit as “semi-routine” in an interview with Glenn Beck and denied it was related to Iran or NATO, though he acknowledged that “something may come out of it” regarding the war in Ukraine.

The Wall Street Journal reported that the visit followed a U.S. intelligence assessment that Russia might be considering a limited assault on a NATO ally, possibly a Baltic nation, ranging from cyberattacks to a small-scale incursion. Russian officials, including SVR head Sergei Naryshkin, confirmed the meeting but characterized it as a routine working-level discussion. The Kremlin dismissed reports of the warning as “scare-story material.” The visit came as Russia’s foreign ministry spokesperson, Maria Zakharova, accused Britain and France of “playing with fire” over the UK’s decision to allow Ukraine to produce Storm Shadow cruise missiles domestically, threatening retaliation against military targets inside and outside Ukraine.

Qatar’s Prime Minister Visits Tehran as U.S. Signals No Urgency on Talks

Qatar’s Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani arrived in Tehran on Thursday for talks aimed at reviving diplomacy between Iran and the United States, as the conflict between the two countries nears its sixth month. The visit came after President Trump told Al Jazeera that he was “not in a hurry” for negotiations, asserting that both economic and military pressure “are effective.” The talks focused on reducing tensions and addressing the status of the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran and Oman have reportedly reached a preliminary agreement on sharing the waterway, though details remain unresolved.

The diplomatic effort unfolded as the U.S. Justice Department prepared to activate a civil-war-era maritime court to capture Iranian oil tankers, according to reports, and as the United States imposed sanctions on nearly 60 Iran-linked entities, including more than a dozen Hong Kong- and mainland China-based companies. China’s foreign ministry denounced the measures as “illegal unilateral sanctions” and pledged to “take all necessary measures” to safeguard its interests. Qatar previously helped broker a ceasefire in June, but that agreement collapsed in July.

Israel Strikes Syria and Lebanon Despite U.S. Diplomatic Push

Israel continued military operations in Lebanon and Syria on Thursday, with a strike in the southern Lebanese town of Arab Salim killing a newlywed woman and injuring others, according to Al Jazeera. The Israeli military said the attacks were in response to Hezbollah launching two drones at Israeli troops. In Syria, Israeli forces carried out artillery shelling near Beit Jinn and a ground raid in the Quneitra countryside, part of a pattern of repeated strikes since the fall of Bashar al-Assad in December 2024.

The operations came despite reported U.S.-mediated talks between Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani and Israeli intelligence officials in Jordan, which Damascus said were intended to end Israeli attacks. The strikes also followed an Aug. 18 Israeli airstrike on the Abu al-Duhur air base in Syria, where Turkey was suspected of preparing to deploy military assets. Turkey’s presidential office condemned that strike as “unlawful” and an attack on Syria’s sovereignty, reflecting a sharp deterioration in Turkish-Israeli relations. The continued operations raise questions about the effectiveness of U.S. diplomatic efforts and the potential for escalation between Israel and Turkey, two nominal American allies competing for influence in Syria.

U.S. Halts Immigrant Visa Interviews Worldwide

The State Department announced on Aug. 26 a temporary pause on all immigrant visa interview appointments at embassies and consulates worldwide, a move that immediately disrupted applicants in China, Hong Kong, and across Asia. The suspension affects individuals seeking green cards, work visas, and student visas, creating uncertainty for thousands of families and businesses. The action coincided with new U.S. sanctions on Iran, though the visa pause appeared to be a separate, broader measure.

The State Department has not provided a timeline for resuming normal operations. The halt is expected to exacerbate existing backlogs in the U.S. immigration system, which already faced delays from the pandemic. For applicants in affected regions, the pause means postponed interviews and prolonged separation from family members in the United States.

Economy & Markets

Canada’s Retaliatory Tariffs Hit Michigan Politics as Trade War Escalates

Canada’s retaliatory tariffs, announced by Prime Minister Mark Carney in response to President Trump’s 50 percent levies on Canadian goods, are escalating the trade war and creating political fallout in the United States. The tariffs, which include up to 50 percent on hundreds of U.S. goods, are hitting states like Michigan, where Canada is the top export destination. Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed has seized on the tariffs to attack Republican opponent Mike Rogers, framing the trade war as a product of Trump’s ego and a burden on American consumers.

Bond markets are signaling fading confidence in U.S. economic leadership, as Trump’s protectionist policies and last-minute changes to negotiations—including demands that Canada renounce French-language promotion and restrict its trade deals—have undermined trust in the White House’s economic management. The automotive sector, deeply integrated across the border, faces particular risk from potential 50 percent tariffs on cars and parts, threatening supply chains and jobs on both sides. Trump has threatened to impose those duties by January.

Global Energy Disruptions Reshape Oil and Coal Markets

Russia, once a top fuel exporter, is now scrambling to import gasoline from Turkey and India after Ukrainian drone attacks crippled its refining capacity. In June, fuel imports from Belarus surged 141-fold, and a sanctioned tanker delivered 200,000 barrels from Turkey to the Baltic port of Primorsk, marking the fifth such shipment this summer. Meanwhile, India faces a coal crisis, with 45 power plants holding critically low stocks—up from 31 at the end of July—due to high electricity demand and monsoon-related supply disruptions.

Nearly half of global oil supply originates in conflict-affected regions, with Middle East disruptions removing an estimated 5 to 7 million barrels per day from the market, further tightening physical supply despite relatively stable prices. In East Africa, Nigeria’s Aliko Dangote plans a $17 billion, 700,000-barrel-per-day refinery in Kenya, while Tanzania and Uganda back a $20 billion Vitol-supported hub in Tanga, reflecting regional rivalries for fuel market dominance.

Science & Innovation

Glacier Collapse in Nepal Kills at Least 359, Leaves 1,500 Missing

A catastrophic flash flood in Nepal, triggered by a glacier collapse on the 7,245-meter peak Langtang Lirung, has killed at least 359 people and left 1,500 missing, according to police reports. The flood swept through the Rasuwa district and along the Trishuli River, destroying bridges and infrastructure, with bodies recovered from several neighboring districts. The U.S. Geological Survey recorded a magnitude 4.4 seismic event at the time, which scientists attribute to the massive ice and rock avalanche rather than a tectonic earthquake.

Experts from the GFZ Helmholtz Centre and the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development suggest that a large chunk of glacier broke off, fell into a river, and created a temporary dam that later breached, sending a wall of water and debris downstream at speeds comparable to highway traffic. While scientists caution against directly attributing this single event to climate change, they note that the Himalayas are warming considerably faster than the global average, increasing the likelihood of such glacial hazards. The region had previously experienced a similar glacial lake outburst in July of the previous year.

A related disaster struck the Gyirong Port area along the China-Nepal border on Wednesday, leaving at least 160 people dead and more than 1,000 missing, according to officials from both countries. Chinese authorities mobilized over 1,500 personnel, including military troops, while Vice-Premier Zhang Guoqing arrived to direct rescue operations. Nepal confirmed 826 missing, including nearly 500 foreigners, with 157 bodies recovered. A barrier lake near the port has complicated rescue efforts and raised the risk of further flooding downstream.

Wildfires and Heatwaves Cause Severe Air Pollution Across Three Continents

Severe wildfires and extreme weather are wreaking havoc across Indonesia, the United States, and the United Kingdom, causing air pollution, property damage, and health crises. In Malaysia, Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim’s National Day speech was moved indoors as haze from Indonesian fires pushed Kuala Lumpur’s air quality index to 169, the second worst in the world. Al Jazeera reported that children in Indonesian Borneo are repeatedly seeking medical care for respiratory issues due to the smoke.

The United States is battling over 90 wildfires with more than 60 million people under heat alerts from the Gulf Coast to the Pacific. The United Kingdom is dealing with flash floods after a summer of drought and heatwaves, with 75 millimeters of rain falling in some areas. The events highlight the growing frequency of climate-related disasters and their cross-border impacts, as Malaysia has sought regional cooperation through ASEAN to address the haze.

Regional Developments

Taiwan, Japan, and U.S. Accelerate Counter-Drone and Hypersonic Defenses

Taiwan’s legislature approved a $7 billion drone budget over six years, advancing President Lai Ching-te’s “porcupine strategy” of asymmetric warfare against China. The plan, though reduced from initial proposals, aims to boost domestic drone manufacturing and supply chains, drawing inspiration from Ukraine’s battlefield experience. Japan, meanwhile, fast-tracked its first drone acquisition under a new rapid-procurement process, selecting Terra Drone’s Terra B1 interceptor system in under three months, with delivery to the Maritime Self-Defence Force expected by September.

The U.S. Marine Corps unveiled its Ground Combat Element 2040 roadmap, pushing counter-drone systems, electronic warfare, and precision fires down to the rifle-squad level. The U.S. Space Force faces criticism from the Government Accountability Office for hesitating to adopt commercial satellite data despite spending $77 million on such services between 2023 and 2025. India, drawing on its BrahMos missile strikes during Operation Sindoor, is advancing hypersonic weapons like BrahMos-II while also recognizing the need for cost-effective, scalable systems, as highlighted by U.S. stockpile depletion in conflicts against Iran.

Other Developments

Dolly Parton Dies at 81

Dolly Parton, the iconic country music singer-songwriter and actress, died at age 81, her family confirmed. The news triggered an outpouring of tributes from fans and celebrities worldwide, including a heartfelt Instagram post from her goddaughter Miley Cyrus, who described Parton as an “angel” and a guiding force in her life. Parton’s legacy is deeply tied to her humble roots in rural Tennessee, where she grew up in a two-room cabin with 11 siblings, a story that resonates in her music and her decision to recreate that cabin at Dollywood, the theme park she co-founded in 1986.

Parton’s impact extended beyond music. She was a prolific philanthropist, having donated millions to education and health causes, including funding COVID-19 research. Her Imagination Library book gifting program has distributed over 200 million books to children worldwide. Fans gathered at Dollywood to pay their respects, and funeral arrangements were being made. Her family has assured the public that her legacy will be preserved.

From the Timeline

NVIDIA’s Blowout Quarter Reshapes the AI Capex Debate

@DavidSacks declared that both the “AI capex is a bubble” and “SaaS is dead” narratives got “shredded” on the back of NVIDIA’s $96B quarter with 75% gross margins and Salesforce’s reaccelerating bookings. @chamath echoed the sentiment, noting he called the SaaS bottom in mid-May and arguing that “models and harnesses will need tight integration with systems of record” — a nod to Salesforce’s positioning. But @zerohedge offered a sharp counterpoint, highlighting Goldman’s finding that there’s a 3.7-year wait just to connect AI data centers to the power grid, quipping that “hyperscalers can just recycle electricity, same way they do revenue.” The tension between NVIDIA’s supply-constrained guidance and the physical infrastructure bottlenecks remains unresolved.

Hugging Face’s Microduck and the Open-Source Robotics Push

@ClementDelangue announced Microduck, a $399 open-source robot that can walk, pick things up, and roller-skate, framing it as the start of “the era of open-source affordable robots to democratize physical AI and world models.” The announcement took on added significance when @zerohedge reported that NVIDIA is in talks to buy Hugging Face for over $13B — a move that would reshape the open-source AI landscape. @fchollet added a broader theoretical frame, arguing that “in verifiable domains, model capability scaling should remain unbounded” since models can keep absorbing “more and more of the computational universe.”

The Linux Desktop Surge and Omarchy’s Moment

@tobi responded with dry amusement to the news that Linux desktop market share jumped from 3.81% to 7.53% in two months, asking “Yes what could possibly have happened.” The answer appears to be Omarchy, the Linux distribution @dhh has been championing — he posted about extracting a Windows 11 Pro license from firmware and running it in a VM inside Omarchy, declaring “Forget WSL, use WIO!” He also acknowledged the flood of community interest, noting that pending PRs went from ~200 to ~1000 since the Quattro launch, and that he’s been pulling 16-hour days since.

Salesforce’s Agentic Enterprise Thesis Gains Traction

@chamath argued that Salesforce’s results validate the thesis that AI agents need “systems of record” to deliver enterprise value, praising Benioff as “too good” at navigating this transition. @DavidSacks highlighted the strategic significance of Salesforce putting itself “inside Claude,” framing it as a “if you can’t beat 'em, join 'em” move. The broader implication both are circling: AI models and harnesses are commoditizing, but the data layer and workflow integration remain defensible.

Urban Data Transparency and the Hoodmaps Income Layer

@levelsio added a median income layer to Hoodmaps after finding Strava’s data too protected to index, arguing that “for very long Google has been hiding this kind of data from Maps because it’d be too politically sensitive.” He expanded on the philosophy in a follow-up, contending that transparent city data lets people “move to the good places” while municipalities improve the rest — and that the current “down cycle of cities” with more visible homelessness and safety concerns echoes the 1970s and 1980s. @Noahpinion struck a related note from a different angle, calling nonprofits “little vampires draining the lifeblood out of the progressive project” in response to a thread on the “Homelessness Industrial Complex.”

The DSA Backlash and Progressive Governance Fatigue

@Noahpinion predicted that the DSA will ultimately collapse not because of ideological associations with Pol Pot or Stalin, but because “people are fed up with progressive governance.” @wolfejosh amplified a New York Post report about immigrant businesses facing sanitation fines after speaking out against a DSA-aligned politician, calling it “vengeful” and comparing it to tactics of “every Communist dictator in history.” The thread connecting these: a growing sentiment that progressive institutional capture has created a governance crisis that cuts across traditional ideological lines.

Meritocracy, Crime, and the Musk Worldview

@elonmusk endorsed @paulg’s statement that “the most qualified person should get the job” with a simple “Yes,” while separately amplifying a thread arguing that a small number of repeat offenders commit most violent crime and that historical societies solved this through capital punishment. @naval added a different flavor of civilizational anxiety, urging followers not to be “the first one to miss the branch” in the unbroken chain of replication. The throughline across these voices: a concern that modern institutions have abandoned basic selection pressures — whether in hiring, criminal justice, or reproduction.

AI’s Capital Absorption Problem

@garrytan floated a provocative thesis: “on a long enough time frame, AI will generate cash flows faster than the economy can find productive uses for new capital.” @sama struck a more urgent tone on a different front, calling the current moment “critically important for cyber defense with AI” and warning that “only an urgent and intense collective response will work.” The juxtaposition captures the field’s split consciousness — simultaneously worried about AI’s destabilizing speed and its potential to outpace our ability to absorb its outputs.

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